0x1e6756597a5b9d43cb055e41bd9a1b503cc05c8d
0x1e6756597a5b9d43cb055e41bd9a1b503cc05c8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$186.23
Total PnL
$-150.83
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$50.00
$25.00
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$25.25
$0.25
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$25.25
$0.25
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.93
$-0.07
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 7?
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$6.30
$3.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 7?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$5.00
$2.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 6?
333 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on March 8?
61 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$48.65Mar 15, 15:22 UTC
- SPLITGTA VI released before June 2026?$50.00Mar 15, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$25.51Mar 15, 15:22 UTC
- SPLITWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$50.00Mar 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$24.00Mar 15, 15:21 UTC
- SPLITWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$50.00Mar 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$23.50Mar 15, 15:20 UTC
- SPLITTrump out as President before GTA VI?$50.00Mar 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$25.50Mar 15, 15:20 UTC
- SPLITWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$50.00Mar 15, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$17.50Mar 15, 15:19 UTC
- SPLITNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$50.00Mar 15, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$22.00Mar 15, 15:18 UTC
- SPLITRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$50.00Mar 15, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 12?$7.30Mar 15, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?$9.19Mar 13, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?$3.03Mar 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 12?$2.99Mar 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 12?$2.99Mar 12, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 11?$7.60Mar 12, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $7.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.