Cavernous-Dash
0x1e6a6623aeb1ac212149b6f496e3d1a4a7519841
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$175.59
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$118.96
$18.96
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
190 shares @ 52.6¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.57
$-53.43
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?
103580 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-262.06
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?
6149 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-15.29
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?
2170 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-119.31
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
1350 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-143.33
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1025 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
845 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 7, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 6, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 24, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$200.00Apr 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$100.00Apr 12, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$100.00Apr 11, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$200.00Apr 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.00Mar 25, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$0.01Oct 8, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$0.03Oct 8, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$0.30Oct 8, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$0.07Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$0.22Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$0.01Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$0.44Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$0.05Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$0.00Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$0.01Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$2.41Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $18.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 07:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".