Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

• BUYDOWN
  0x0b12…100b$23.52@ 18¢
  52s ago
• BUYUP
  Musty-Following$29.59@ 37¢
  52s ago
• BUYUP
  Familiar-Mini$0.05@ 1¢
  52s ago
• BUYNO
  Blaring-Backdrop$57.82@ 69¢
  52s ago
• BUYNO
  Giddy-Artery$6.87@ 91¢
  52s ago
• SELLDOWN
  Fruitful-Hovercraft$3.15@ 63¢
  52s ago
• BUYKARMINE CORP
  0x006e…4515$1.00@ 90¢
  52s ago
• SELLYES
  Lumpy-Tin$59.27@ 31¢
  52s ago
• SELLYES
  Serene-Cellar$1.11@ 30¢
  52s ago
• BUYUP
  Spherical-Mother$3.26@ 83¢
  52s ago
• BUYNO
  0x2be0…6dee$9.82@ 75¢
  52s ago
• BUYUP
  Distinct-Barley$4.58@ 59¢
  52s ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.