Insistent-Classroom
0x1e6fce610ac7eaa39241575114c62f6207d1eb72
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$596.18
Total PnL
$-409.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
550 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$321.75
$-13.75
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
550 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$222.75
$2.75
- NO
Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius vs. OFK Petrovac end in a draw?
44 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$35.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$8.05
$0.05
- NO
Will St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$7.75
$-0.05
- NO
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?
164 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-149.50
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
148 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-113.96
- YES
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals
21 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
21 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-14.75
- NO
Granit Xhaka: 1+ shots
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?$8.16Jul 16, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Žalgiris Vilnius vs. OFK Petrovac end in a draw?$35.70Jul 16, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?$7.95Jul 16, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$232.83Jul 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$238.79Jul 16, 07:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.19Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- REWARD$3.63Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$21.00Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?$41.00Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?$41.00Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?$11.50Jul 15, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina to score first vs. England?$9.38Jul 15, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?$39.04Jul 15, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?$39.44Jul 15, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$5.28Jul 15, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$6.65Jul 15, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland to score first vs. Argentina?$11.40Jul 15, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$135.02Jul 15, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$7.44Jul 15, 09:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $37.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 12:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.