0x1e80eaebb9dfab2edc41530115ea2f535e909750
0x1e80eaebb9dfab2edc41530115ea2f535e909750
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$17.77
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$3.98
$2.19
- YES
Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$3.00
$1.77
- NO
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.04
$0.03
- YES
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.96
$0.01
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.93
$-0.02
- NO
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.81
$-0.05
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.53
$-0.09
- YES
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.02
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Canada" or "Canadian" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$2.04Jul 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.26Jul 28, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother pandemic before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 27, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.64Jul 27, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$1.86Jul 26, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 26, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?$1.89Jul 25, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$2.02Jul 25, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$1.84Jul 25, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$1.63Jul 24, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2.00Jul 24, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?$1.97Jul 23, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.21Jul 23, 01:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 01:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.