Scary-Tail
0x1ea813ea1b370dbad2ead90658c69f35a8d633a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$114.11
Total PnL
$-83.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 6 above $430?
114 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$114.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
2250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?
1531 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?
1420 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?
984 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?
928 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 24?
767 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?
696 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?
619 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 22?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 6 above $430?$114.00Jul 10, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in June?$124.12Jul 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in June?$124.00Jun 27, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $430?$123.32Jun 27, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $430?$123.03Jun 26, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$10.71Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 102°F or higher on June 1?$13.01Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$13.25Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$74.07Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.01Jun 1, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$74.00May 31, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 102°F or higher on June 1?$13.00May 31, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$87.09May 31, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$87.01May 30, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.00May 30, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$13.20May 30, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$112.34May 30, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$112.00May 30, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$112.64May 30, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$112.32May 29, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $74.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.