Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?
Probability
99¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+1.1pp
24h Vol
$135.86
Liquidity
$20.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 99¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 43h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $20.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 43h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 43 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 43.4h
- 20:35SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 43h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.9pp over the last 24h, now 99¢.
Biggest hourly move: +8.9pp at 2d ago (to 97¢).
Show all 18 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +4.8pp → 99¢
- 19:00 · +3.9pp → 99¢
- 17:00 · +4.4pp → 99¢
- 15:00 · +3.9pp → 99¢
- 13:00 · +3.0pp → 99¢
- 1d ago · +3.8pp → 98¢
- 1d ago · +3.6pp → 98¢
- 1d ago · +6.7pp → 98¢
- 1d ago · +7.4pp → 98¢
- 1d ago · +8.1pp → 98¢
- 1d ago · +8.0pp → 98¢
- 2d ago · +8.2pp → 96¢
- 2d ago · +7.9pp → 96¢
- 2d ago · +8.4pp → 96¢
- 2d ago · +8.0pp → 96¢
- 2d ago · +8.9pp → 97¢
- 2d ago · +7.6pp → 96¢
- 2d ago · +7.1pp → 96¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.