Animated-Warmth
0x1eb229e5209409f29b70ff123316ee7e42194d5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$8.44
Total PnL
$-168.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$8.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 6?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on December 8?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
50 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Dec 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.00Dec 8, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$30.00Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $500 before 2026?$1.00Dec 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on December 8?$1.00Dec 8, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$10.00Dec 8, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$10.00Dec 8, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$65.79Dec 8, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 6?$10.00Dec 6, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$50.00Dec 6, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$100.00Nov 9, 23:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $22.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 23:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".