Interesting-Shanty
0x1ec44caefb18a59e05f358bcda3a82c1a376048e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
6816 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.16
- NO
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?
983 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-330.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
893 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-199.35
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
842 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
694 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-318.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$199.35Apr 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$10.16Apr 9, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$40.00Apr 9, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 100 seats?$330.00Apr 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$300.00Mar 3, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$318.10Dec 9, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $199.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.