Secondary-Waitress
0x1ecc179179e6f1955a6d38ba131d9e93b5027dca
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$367.02
Total PnL
$1.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
55 shares @ 91.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$51.95
$1.68
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
46 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.47
$2.53
- NO
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
35 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.60
$0.07
- NO
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
32 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.69
$0.73
- NO
JD Vance out as VP by June 15?
30 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.00
$0.27
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
27 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.84
$0.19
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
24 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.99
$0.47
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.97
$0.47
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
20 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.10
$1.15
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.38Jun 11, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 10, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.98Jun 10, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.21Jun 10, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?$2.31Jun 9, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)$2.50Jun 9, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$18.80Jun 7, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 7, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?$18.96Jun 7, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$34.53Jun 7, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$19.00Jun 7, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)$0.00Jun 7, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.00Jun 7, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.04Jun 1, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.55Jun 1, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.41Jun 1, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance out as VP by June 15?$29.73May 28, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.14May 28, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 28, 04:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.