Flickering-Circadian
0x1ecc91dbd13963efbaa305262a23164c68eb53a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$24.8K
Total PnL
$419.92
Realised
$-407.98
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
19400 shares @ 81.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.2K
$3.4K
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
4145 shares @ 60.2¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.6K
$115.83
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1483 shares @ 69.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$215.03
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
5312 shares @ 41.2¢·now 19.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-1.1K
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 58.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$161.00
$45.00
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$159.00
$121.00
- NO
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
195 shares @ 33.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$143.32
$78.97
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
200 shares @ 62.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$110.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
109 shares @ 74.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2027$73.89
$-7.52
- YES
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
128 shares @ 58.6¢·now 51.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$65.47
$-9.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$153.95Jun 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.85Jun 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$8.32Jun 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$8.32Jun 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$71.11Jun 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$5.12Jun 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.20Jun 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.13Jun 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$390.00Jun 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$2.57Jun 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.41Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$18.50Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$1.92Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.84Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.73Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.84Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.84Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$1.80Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$21.07Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.36Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $89.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.