Adorable-Yard
0x1ef966404fec66892385de78b3f2f291a9147e63
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$498.24
Win rate
46%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
28113 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-454.37
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
13715 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-196.13
- NO
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
12017 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-282.49
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?
11954 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-75.33
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?
7898 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-66.99
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
6669 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?
4272 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-162.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,300 on November 6?
2934 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-135.95
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?
2013 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-90.67
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 31?
1920 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-71.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$18.81Apr 14, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$18.81Apr 14, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$13.02Apr 10, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$12.69Apr 10, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 15?$0.00Mar 20, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$7.92Mar 20, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$12.00Mar 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$5.66Mar 20, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$2.90Mar 20, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$4.05Mar 20, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$219.24Mar 15, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$138.33Mar 15, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 13?$138.72Mar 15, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$138.86Mar 15, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$138.64Mar 15, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$81.23Mar 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$5.68Mar 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$48.10Mar 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$135.21Mar 13, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$123.30Mar 6, 12:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $85.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".