Possible-Applause
0x1effd2dfd03cee3a7c19208a97be4b253d89b5a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.37
Total PnL
$-2.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$2.38Jan 10, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $5.68Jan 10, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 27, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced by October 31?$1.00Oct 27, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$1.89Oct 27, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$1.00Sep 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced by September 30?$1.00Sep 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $5.00Jul 12, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMSolana ETF approved in 2025?$0.00Jul 12, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMSolana ETF approved in 2025?$5.56Jul 12, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$2.00Mar 6, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$0.00Mar 6, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$3.70Mar 6, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$3.00Feb 15, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$3.90Feb 15, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$3.00Feb 5, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by January 31?$0.00Feb 5, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$3.00Jan 17, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?$9.43Jan 17, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $8.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.