Lined-Portrait
0x1f36d5708f6b53967ffa6397e6135a20a2d25019
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$9.57
Total PnL
$-6.86
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.15
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 25?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.09
$0.00
- NO
Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.07
$-0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 22-28?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.05
$-0.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$-0.02
- BOSTON RED SOX
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.04
$0.02
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-0.04
- NO
Will the match not air?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-0.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 25?$2.75Jun 24, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 25?$3.90Jun 24, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?$3.72Jun 24, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?$4.80Jun 24, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match not air?$1.00Jun 24, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 24, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$6.95Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$8.10Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies$1.02Jun 24, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.06Jun 24, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$10.20Jun 24, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$11.30Jun 24, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 22-28?$10.94Jun 24, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 22-28?$12.00Jun 24, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Hornedo be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?$1.00May 11, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?$1.07May 11, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aleksandra Goryachkina win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?$1.08May 11, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?$1.10May 11, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?$1.11May 11, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.14May 11, 08:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 03:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.