Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?
Probability
45¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 45¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1592h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1591.7h
- 20:15SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1592h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.
Biggest hourly move: +17.5pp at 1d ago (to 68¢).
Show all 22 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +4.0pp → 45¢
- 19:00 · +4.0pp → 45¢
- 17:00 · +4.0pp → 45¢
- 15:00 · +4.0pp → 46¢
- 14:00 · +4.0pp → 46¢
- 12:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
- 11:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
- 09:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
- 08:00 · +6.5pp → 48¢
- 06:00 · +6.0pp → 47¢
- 05:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
- 03:00 · +5.5pp → 47¢
- 02:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
- 00:00 · +7.0pp → 48¢
- 23:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
- 21:00 · +6.5pp → 48¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 48¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 48¢
- 1d ago · +9.0pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +7.0pp → 50¢
- 1d ago · +7.0pp → 50¢
- 1d ago · +17.5pp → 68¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the STRC market cap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title at any point between the creation of this market and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The value used for resolution will be the “Market Cap ($M)” field, updated daily, available at: https://www.strategy.com/strc This market will resolve based solely on the data displayed on the Strategy STRC page. Data from other sources will not be considered for resolution.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.