Absolute-Index
0x1f3b79a5d1f128d8d642c58f218f6547a2e04e30
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$218.57
Total PnL
$3.0K
Realised
$4.0K
Win rate
98%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
220 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$218.57
$1.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
400 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-12.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$0.06Jun 11, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$9.38Jun 11, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.13Jun 11, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$7.06Jun 11, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$4.42Jun 11, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$4.88Jun 11, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$5.13Jun 11, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$5.04Jun 11, 17:00 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$10.00May 23, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.70May 23, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$8.90May 23, 21:57 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$10.00May 23, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.20May 23, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$9.70May 23, 21:53 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$10.00May 23, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.30May 23, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$9.50May 23, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$197.20May 23, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$19.68May 23, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs$29.99May 22, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 15:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.