Naive-Composition
0x1f3b82763dd3b1807bab2761c1b031bc9c16453a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-112.18
Realised
$50.62
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
212 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
185 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
182 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
181 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
113 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
109 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.01May 20, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$1.07May 20, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$20.53May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$20.44May 17, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$15.30May 17, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$9.00May 17, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$10.30May 17, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$6.03May 17, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$6.19May 17, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$19.31May 17, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$20.32May 17, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00May 17, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$16.14May 17, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$15.55May 17, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.32May 17, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.02May 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$19.16May 17, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$11.41May 17, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$11.46May 17, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$91.82May 17, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $41.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.