Possible-Appliance
0x1f4b6354235ba1342a4986c168433327bff17d45
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$54.41
Total PnL
$-253.83
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1281 shares @ 5.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$49.97
$-20.13
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
137 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?
1146 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
908 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?
578 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$57.16May 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.58May 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.19May 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.25May 11, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.60Mar 7, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.87Mar 6, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.87Mar 6, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$6.38Mar 6, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.95Mar 6, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.33Mar 6, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.67Mar 6, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$3.43Mar 6, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.64Mar 6, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.20Mar 6, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.30Mar 6, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.57Mar 6, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.20Mar 6, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.36Mar 6, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".