Daring-Angora
0x1f5a521a3264025f8e9660a1b11798300f3a1d35
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-33.37
Realised
$347.25
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
713 shares @ 36.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$360.29
$100.55
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
570 shares @ 57.4¢·now 46.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$262.48
$-64.74
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?
1449 shares @ 16.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.56
$-8.49
- NO
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
277 shares @ 62.8¢·now 59.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$163.59
$-10.49
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
500 shares @ 28.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2935 shares @ 3.6¢·now 4.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$142.35
$37.50
- NO
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
73 shares @ 70.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$63.70
$12.74
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 46.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.25
$3.25
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 9.3¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.40
$-2.30
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$13.50
$-38.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.68Aug 17, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.50Aug 17, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.88Aug 17, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.63Aug 17, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.46Aug 17, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$7.50Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$3.75Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.33Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.22Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.75Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$15.00Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.31Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.75Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.35Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$8.82Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$17.88Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.04Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.