Daring-Angora
0x1f5a521a3264025f8e9660a1b11798300f3a1d35
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$294.31
Realised
$355.42
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
713 shares @ 36.4¢·now 50.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$356.73
$96.98
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
450 shares @ 60.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$285.92
$15.88
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
500 shares @ 28.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.50
$52.50
- NO
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
227 shares @ 66.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$148.86
$-2.21
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2435 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.20
$-2.95
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
2025 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.61
$-18.88
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
14976 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.95
$-169.09
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 46.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.75
$3.75
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.05
$-4.95
- YES
Israeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?
150 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.25
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?$2.00Jul 2, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?$1.50Jul 2, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$6.00Jul 2, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$1.91Jul 2, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$0.32Jul 2, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$3.77Jul 2, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$5.84Jul 2, 02:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?$3.60Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.31Jul 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$0.96Jul 1, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$0.65Jul 1, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$6.40Jul 1, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?$2.00Jul 1, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?$2.00Jul 1, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?$2.00Jul 1, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?$0.40Jul 1, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$7.27Jul 1, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$9.88Jul 1, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$26.18Jul 1, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $18.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.