Comfortable-Sandwich
0x1f85eb9c455c5bdef5d96c2739076678c7157b02
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
142
Open notional
$8.7K
Total PnL
$668.21
Realised
$560.11
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- NO
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
364 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$363.48
$-0.18
- NO
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
364 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$363.48
$-0.18
- NO
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
364 shares @ 0.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$363.48
$363.48
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
364 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$363.48
$-0.18
- NO
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
364 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$363.48
$-0.18
- NO
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
364 shares @ 0.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$363.48
$363.48
- NO
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
364 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$363.48
$-0.18
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
364 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$363.48
$-0.18
- NO
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
364 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$363.48
$-0.18
- NO
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
364 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$363.48
$-0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 22?$0.06Jul 22, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.41Jul 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$21.06Jul 22, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 22?$2.97Jul 22, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 22?$3.99Jul 22, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?$0.05Jul 22, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?$0.07Jul 22, 03:04 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Paris on July 22?$40.00Jul 22, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?$0.39Jul 22, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$3.34Jul 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$33.67Jul 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$0.86Jul 22, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$0.85Jul 22, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 22?$5.02Jul 22, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$21.43Jul 22, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 22?$0.14Jul 22, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 22?$17.18Jul 22, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$3.77Jul 22, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$34.42Jul 22, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$3.78Jul 22, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 01:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.