0x1f923107430c5577a5fd1a4073f2d66e392edc6b
0x1f923107430c5577a5fd1a4073f2d66e392edc6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$61.92
Total PnL
$-5.91
Realised
$0.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
16 shares @ 77.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$14.02
$1.92
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 10.3¢·now 7.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.19
$-3.25
- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in July?
14 shares @ 57.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$8.49
$0.56
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.2¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 29 2026?
5 shares @ 87.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$4.50
$0.57
- NO
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in July?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.77
$-0.19
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of July?
6 shares @ 27.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.20
$0.57
- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?
20 shares @ 8.4¢·now 11.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.20
$0.54
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on July 2?$0.00Jul 2, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMMeta (META) Up or Down on July 2?$1.73Jul 2, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on July 2?$0.00Jul 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in July?$3.04Jul 2, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on July 2?$2.26Jul 2, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 29 2026?$3.47Jul 2, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $144 in July?$1.82Jul 2, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on July 2?$1.16Jul 2, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?$0.47Jul 2, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?$0.56Jul 2, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?$0.45Jul 2, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $144 in July?$0.12Jul 2, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?$1.24Jul 2, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?$1.73Jul 2, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on July 2?$1.14Jul 2, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta (META) Up or Down on July 2?$1.18Jul 2, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on July 2?$1.21Jul 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of June 29 2026?$1.22Jul 2, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 in July?$1.51Jul 2, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 in July?$1.28Jul 2, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.