Exalted-Conductor
0x1f9ffa65fbdcb2de319faec8e2ab534c8082979c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$45.13
Total PnL
$-57.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.15
$25.15
- YES
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.05
$7.05
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.94
$0.94
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
1435 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on January 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?
961 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-26.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on January 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
GTA VI released before June 2026?
386 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after February 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$1.77Jan 29, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?$5.00Jan 29, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$0.00Jan 28, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$0.00Jan 28, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 6?$0.00Jan 28, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 55°F or below on January 8?$0.00Jan 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$10.00Jan 28, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Jan 26, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?$1.00Jan 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the February decision?$1.00Jan 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the February meeting?$1.00Jan 12, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after February 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 12, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after February 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 12, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton charged by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of January?$1.00Jan 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of January?$1.00Jan 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of January?$1.00Jan 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$2.00Jan 11, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.