Creepy-Derivation
0x1faab523fe6181c796caa9b696b4a431726568cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$211.00
Total PnL
$-53.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?
120 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$111.00
$-1.80
- NO
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
100 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$100.00
$1.60
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
40 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?
30 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
30 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?
30 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-21.90
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- NO
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.35
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 10+ times during remarks in NC on September 24?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTim Walz in jail by December 31?$6.39Apr 1, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz in jail by December 31?$11.28Apr 1, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz in jail by December 31?$15.98Apr 1, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz in jail by December 31?$79.15Apr 1, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYICE shooter charged by March 31?$98.40Mar 26, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.27Mar 26, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$1.47Mar 26, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMObama federally charged in 2025?$3.10Mar 26, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$7.79Mar 26, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$39.99Mar 26, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?$4.50Oct 4, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$1.44Oct 4, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$5.45Oct 4, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$20.70Oct 4, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$1.73Oct 4, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$7.87Oct 4, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?$21.90Oct 4, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$292.48Oct 4, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$292.77Oct 4, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$281.04Oct 4, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $189.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.