Flimsy-Sushi
0x1fbc0301e33a55fea740deb4a412498c18ab08d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$1.58
Total PnL
$-188.80
Realised
$2.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
53 shares @ 93.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
38 shares @ 78.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
2025 August third hottest on record?
37 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.73
- NO
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?
26 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.05
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
25 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.76
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
21 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
20 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
16 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 14, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$1.54May 29, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.50Apr 26, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$1.00Apr 26, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$1.00Apr 26, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.00Apr 16, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.01Apr 16, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 16, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$5.00Apr 16, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$1.00Apr 14, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?$1.00Apr 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?$2.00Apr 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?$5.02Apr 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?$1.00Apr 12, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$1.00Apr 11, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$2.00Apr 11, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$1.00Apr 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$1.00Apr 11, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 22:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.