Cooked-Moose
0x1fc684f0250e4af0dd19c33be86a88f31f041fc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$147.85
Realised
$156.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
1180 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.2K
$19.52
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
692 shares @ 96.9¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$651.52
$-19.17
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
653 shares @ 84.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$557.89
$3.64
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
492 shares @ 68.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$324.67
$-14.41
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$259.50
$1.50
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$186.60
$-0.20
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.88
$0.13
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.80
$1.20
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.75
$0.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10?
7 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$343.30Jun 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$26.20Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$261.67Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$15.73Jun 13, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$77.59Jun 13, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$8.60Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?$12.79Jun 13, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?$22.83Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$75.56Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$76.63Jun 13, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$63.06Jun 13, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$366.27Jun 13, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$0.29Jun 13, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?$259.44Jun 12, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$215.99Jun 12, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$541.41Jun 12, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$177.06Jun 12, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$161.03Jun 12, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$590.79Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$100.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $166.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.