0x1fd14149fd726f6d8cce4556149aec8d9cfabdac
0x1fd14149fd726f6d8cce4556149aec8d9cfabdac
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$105.57
Total PnL
$-196.80
Realised
$-0.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
32 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$32.42
$8.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
32 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$31.72
$28.23
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$30.00
$24.00
- YES
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$9.00
$7.92
- YES
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
10 shares @ 7.0¢·now 18.2¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.82
$1.12
- YES
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
8 shares @ 22.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.51
$-1.22
- YES
Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
27 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.04
$-1.69
- YES
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
24 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.04
$-0.34
- YES
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.03
$-1.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?
251 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Santos FC win on 2026-02-26?$5.00Feb 27, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 26, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$6.00Feb 26, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 25?$15.00Feb 25, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on February 25?$45.00Feb 25, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 24?$6.06Feb 24, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 24?$5.00Feb 24, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 24?$5.00Feb 24, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on February 24?$5.00Feb 24, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 24?$23.52Feb 24, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)$0.04Feb 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)$1.00Feb 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2026-03-01?$1.04Feb 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)$1.00Feb 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi in February 2026?$1.05Feb 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin be the top performing crypto in February?$1.01Feb 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: PAOK (-2.5)$1.00Feb 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 27?$0.28Feb 23, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?$7.00Feb 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$1.00Feb 23, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $0.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".