Unusual-Bumper
0x1fd8b3c63bedd4c35efe696e643de54112384208
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$46.47
Total PnL
$-823.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
59 shares @ 84.8¢·now 45.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.86
$-23.14
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
104 shares @ 9.6¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.74
$-0.26
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on October 24?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on October 28?
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on November 2?
349 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on November 1?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 3, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jun 3, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.78May 30, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$7.60May 30, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$97.90May 30, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$97.50May 24, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.00Mar 27, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$101.15Mar 27, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$7.60Mar 20, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$88.00Mar 12, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$88.22Mar 12, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$90.00Mar 12, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Binance be accused of insider trading?$30.72Mar 2, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$45.33Feb 24, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Binance be accused of insider trading?$30.00Feb 24, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 17, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$28.00Jan 29, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?$50.00Jan 6, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$50.00Jan 2, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$99.90Jan 2, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $43.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 11:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".