Altruistic-Document
0x1fde79137c1757ea040b1699c04a2e99b385b3aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US recession in 2025?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.00
$1.75
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.00
$3.35
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 4?
7174 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on November 5?
5966 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.97
- NO
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?
4965 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Will Girona vs. Espanyol end in a draw?
4225 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$2.1KMay 20, 06:18 UTC
- REWARD$8.85Mar 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jan 25, 00:28 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11.0KJan 24, 01:19 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jan 24, 00:44 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11.0KJan 23, 01:29 UTC
- REWARD$1.28Dec 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$56.14Dec 5, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$13.20Dec 5, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$37.21Dec 5, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$2.20Dec 5, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$1.00Dec 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$7.70Dec 5, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$25.00Dec 5, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$4.04Dec 5, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$87.50Dec 5, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$5.14Dec 4, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$1.00Dec 4, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$90.00Dec 4, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$153.86Dec 4, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $384.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.