0x1fe63e5584400a57e983de42a1811040e305e62a
0x1fe63e5584400a57e983de42a1811040e305e62a
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-27.32
Win rate
13%
109 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- YES
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1587 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- YES
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
268 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.86
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
227 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-76.75
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Knicks
198 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-33.72
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
135 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.30
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?
121 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-21.33
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
120 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-36.83
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-2.5)
115 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- LAKERS
Rockets vs. Lakers
113 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-5.5)$1.80Aug 12, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) AND Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)$1.00Aug 12, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants AND Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres$1.97Aug 12, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)$3.80Aug 12, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres$1.13Aug 12, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$0.00Aug 12, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$4.99Aug 12, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.16Aug 12, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) AND Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees AND Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) AND Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.59Aug 12, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.08Aug 11, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$2.91Aug 11, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees AND Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals$1.73Aug 11, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers AND Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.00Aug 11, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals$1.00Aug 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins AND Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres$3.17Aug 11, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.09Aug 9, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$0.95Aug 9, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$1.76Aug 9, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$1.44Aug 9, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$1.25Aug 9, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 109 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
109 closed markets, 13% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 23:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 109 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.