Burdensome-Labor
0x2038860bb8aa7037e7b2d323c15a6411ed0b6161
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$1.8K
Realised
$977.01
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
1038 shares @ 61.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$975.62
$342.84
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
683 shares @ 28.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$590.70
$395.37
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
503 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$455.50
$22.65
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
300 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$283.50
$10.50
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
342 shares @ 75.6¢·now 76.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$262.22
$3.59
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3166 shares @ 4.1¢·now 7.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$232.70
$103.06
- NO
NATO dissolves before 2027?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.57
$3.54
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
252 shares @ 4.2¢·now 30.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$76.85
$66.35
- YES
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
290 shares @ 4.3¢·now 24.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$71.04
$58.55
- YES
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
232 shares @ 4.3¢·now 22.7¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$52.61
$42.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$9.50Jun 5, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$8.41Jun 5, 11:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 28, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $44.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.