Peaceful-Mortise
0x203b8e55f5334b45e683c53b7f75e57711d79dfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$143.50
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$24.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
958 shares @ 8.3¢·now 8.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$80.49
$0.50
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.27
$-0.73
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3383 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.84
$-8.16
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1138 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- YES
California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?
30 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.53
$-0.59
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
35 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.09
$-4.91
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
45062 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-691.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$20.46Jun 13, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$82.93Jun 12, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$86.97Jun 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$184.60Jun 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$20.47Jun 10, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$20.79Jun 9, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$167.79Jun 9, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?$2.20Jun 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$15.59Jun 9, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$51.99Jun 9, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$103.97Jun 9, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$519.71Jun 8, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$90.60Jun 8, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$155.60Jun 5, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.10Jun 4, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$102.56Jun 4, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$102.60Jun 4, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election in the first round?$20.79Jun 3, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$121.78Jun 3, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $69.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.