0x2059334884d67ce246915c24988674e24e84f13b
0x2059334884d67ce246915c24988674e24e84f13b
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$182.96
Total PnL
$-38.01
Realised
$-20.50
Win rate
23%
151 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.03
$5.03
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 36.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.97
$4.97
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.70
$2.70
- YES
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.35
$2.35
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.86
$1.86
- YES
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 15.6¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$2.83
$1.83
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.78
$1.78
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.58
$1.58
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.55
$1.55
- NO
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.44
$1.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 151 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
151 closed markets, 23% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $0.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 151 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.