Narrow-Subset
0x2064bee151a2439ef65a647b247340defb69e748
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-223.76
Realised
$-26.16
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- SPACEX
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
809 shares @ 72.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$791.20
$202.25
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
1361 shares @ 64.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$469.41
$-401.63
- NO
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
201 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$153.76
$3.01
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.14
$-0.98
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$5.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 38% and 40%?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMMagnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dallas Stars win the Central Division?$30.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 5?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.00Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $150.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.