Vigorous-Thigh
0x206909865fa490d318d3dd98042664379ab53d72
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$11.55
Total PnL
$-2.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
12 shares @ 86.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$11.55
$1.55
- YES
Will Man's Best Friend by Sabrina Carpenter be the top Spotify album for 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$10.00Mar 20, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mohammed Sinwar be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$9.84Mar 20, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?$14.63Mar 20, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?$10.65Mar 20, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed Sinwar be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$508.47Nov 4, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Man's Best Friend by Sabrina Carpenter be the top Spotify album for 2025?$3.00Nov 4, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?$12.00Nov 4, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed Sinwar be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$518.80Nov 4, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?$10.00Nov 4, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota shooting suspect Vance Boelter captured today?$2.06Nov 4, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?$2.13Nov 4, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?$2.17Nov 4, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMIranian coup attempt before July?$2.27Nov 4, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota shooting suspect Vance Boelter captured today?$2.00Jun 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?$2.00Jun 15, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?$2.00Jun 15, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIranian coup attempt before July?$2.00Jun 15, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?$1.02Jun 15, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMEgypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?$1.06Jun 15, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump tariff on EU alcohol before May?$1.61Jun 15, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $33.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".