Prime-Favor
0x20728cfc657018dc74211edec250fa83c2e3c4ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.27
Total PnL
$-12.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 9AM ET
1025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
766 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
753 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?$0.00Feb 28, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 23, 9AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 23, 9AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.02Feb 23, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.04Feb 23, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.25Feb 23, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?$1.00Jan 23, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 21, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Jan 21, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 21, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$0.00Jan 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 21, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 11:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 22:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".