Thoughtful-Billing
0x2080558ff21737317be5d63a343d6d6e92512d08
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$3.16
Total PnL
$-305.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
51 shares @ 9.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.16
$-1.84
- NORTHEASTERN HUSKIES
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawks
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 17?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
145 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
138 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
126 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$11.43Apr 29, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$16.03Apr 29, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$3.00Mar 29, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00Mar 29, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$8.00Mar 29, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$3.00Mar 29, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$3.00Mar 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Feb 3, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$10.00Feb 3, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.00Feb 3, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$3.00Jan 29, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.00Jan 29, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Jan 29, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 29, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$24.50Jan 27, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$3.00Jan 27, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.00Jan 27, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Jan 26, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$5.00Jan 26, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$4.00Jan 26, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 07:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".