Granular-Real
0x20bea83b31a462790425b1592a253172f5a4820a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$474.12
Total PnL
$-375.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3920 shares @ 20.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$411.62
$-398.37
- YES
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
63 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$62.50
$32.50
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
154 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$110.00Jun 12, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.47May 16, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$30.78May 16, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$300.00Apr 19, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$156.25Apr 9, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$155.83Apr 9, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$200.00Apr 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$100.00Apr 6, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 6, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$200.00Apr 6, 06:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $136.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 06:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 03:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.