Lighthearted-Taco
0x20c0d060f5bb2117189cfa6261f9c77ab74b32bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$132.93
Total PnL
$-14.29
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
84 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$84.21
$4.21
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
28 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$27.67
$0.67
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.05
$1.05
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$20.04Jun 10, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 10, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMEric Swalwell arrested by May 31?$3.09Jun 10, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Allah again by May 31?$8.33Jun 10, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$37.50Jun 10, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$2.80Jun 10, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$2.14Jun 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$0.90May 25, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$27.03May 24, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 21?$18.89May 24, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$22.54May 22, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$33.66May 22, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$22.03May 19, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$80.16May 19, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$17.00May 19, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$51.99May 19, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$56.00May 19, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$31.21May 12, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEric Swalwell arrested by May 31?$2.94May 9, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$27.89May 7, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $26.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 11:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.