Vacant-Legacy
0x20dced8379f748eea1db9c490afc448be237201d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$921.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
1520 shares @ 32.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.4K
$875.40
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
748 shares @ 69.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$714.33
$197.98
- NO
Will CXMT IPO by July 17, 2026?
560 shares @ 85.4¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$547.61
$69.26
- YES
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
630 shares @ 68.1¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$412.59
$-16.40
- YES
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
392 shares @ 76.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$312.03
$12.03
- YES
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
346 shares @ 87.8¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$129.72
$-174.04
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 85.4¢·now 77.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$92.38
$-9.85
- YES
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?
149 shares @ 56.1¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$80.33
$-3.07
- NO
Will Jio Platforms IPO by July 31, 2026?
92 shares @ 91.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.66
$-28.06
- NO
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
47 shares @ 80.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$36.14
$-1.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMScrewworm National Emergency declared by June 30?$60.00Jul 4, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoscow air traffic suspended by July 31?$46.90Jul 4, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoscow air traffic suspended by August 31?$300.00Jul 4, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoscow air traffic suspended by July 31?$14.50Jul 4, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoscow air traffic suspended by July 31?$22.00Jul 4, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$11.37Jul 2, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$55.84Jul 2, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$35.02Jul 2, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CXMT IPO by July 17, 2026?$82.42Jul 1, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$249.37Jul 1, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by July 31, 2026?$58.31Jul 1, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CXMT IPO by July 17, 2026?$372.33Jul 1, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$635.98Jul 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CXMT IPO by July 17, 2026?$17.68Jul 1, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CXMT IPO by July 17, 2026?$8.70Jul 1, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jio Platforms IPO by July 31, 2026?$84.02Jun 30, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" during meeting with French President?$0.00Jun 29, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by July 31, 2026?$8.79Jun 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?$49.64Jun 28, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$113.37Jun 27, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $98.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.