Afraid-Calorie
0x20f788533bc559520a9ead88c8a87ee4ca735527
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$705.25
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$15.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
320 shares @ 67.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.82
$-36.85
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
4963 shares @ 12.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$136.50
$-479.90
- YES
Will the Liberal Democrats win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 7, 2026$75.00
$45.00
- NO
Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
1500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp May 7, 2026$73.50
$-151.37
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
71 shares @ 30.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$68.96
$47.53
- NO
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
1496 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$51.62
$5.75
- YES
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
4000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$22.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
1803 shares @ 25.5¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 7, 2026$21.64
$-438.51
- YES
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
17530 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 7, 2026$17.53
$-17.53
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 7, 2026$15.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$6.808h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.308h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.2311h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.1111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.2011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.1111h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$4.5512h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.6612h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.3212h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.7612h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.7612h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.2312h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.7412h ago
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$19.7213h ago
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$13.3613h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.1813h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$28.9613h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$50.8313h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$14.1213h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$22.0313h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $39.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
