Proud-Everybody
0x213370f36bd640c6c5636a2918fc7218b5a87b3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-238.98
Realised
$-6.07
Win rate
7%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1324 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.45
- YES
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1070 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.42
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
962 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
955 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-97.04
- YES
Trump out as President by July 31?
857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?$100.53Jul 9, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$1.04Jul 9, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$5.20Jul 9, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$3.61Jul 9, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$10.30Jul 9, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$15.44Jul 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$20.02Jul 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$30.38Jul 5, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Jul 5, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$4.66Jul 5, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.34Jul 5, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Jul 5, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.90Jul 5, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.23Jul 5, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.32Jul 5, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.32Jul 5, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$26.20Jul 5, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.25Jul 5, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$7.33Jul 5, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.22Jul 5, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $10.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.