0x2134418d574d08a1d46c6c057570fde57d820734
0x2134418d574d08a1d46c6c057570fde57d820734
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$143.30
Total PnL
$-616.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
517 shares @ 10.8¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$82.94
$26.83
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
30 shares @ 44.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$22.20
$9.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
430 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.38
$-0.65
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
140 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.92
$-17.08
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 3.9¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.63
$0.68
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
130 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.23
$-0.71
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
421 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-292.49
- YES
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
292 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-148.63
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
212 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.19Jun 13, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 13, 19:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$5.07Jun 12, 19:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.95Jun 1, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$25.00May 30, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$64.18May 30, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $16.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.