Loathsome-Willingness
0x213671a050eef449e58a1a13637c6ec52cb467ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$43.92
Total PnL
$-156.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- ADAM WALTON
Bloomfield Hills: Blaise Bicknell vs Adam Walton
32 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$31.91
$1.91
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.90
$0.90
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
132 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-76.73
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
58 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- ALESSANDRA MAZZOLA
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteri
39 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
30 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will the game go to extra innings?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$9.97Jul 20, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBloomfield Hills: Blaise Bicknell vs Adam Walton$30.09Jul 20, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteri$30.36Jul 20, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.99Jul 20, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$33.61Jul 20, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.54Jul 20, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$12.00Jul 19, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$20.40Jul 19, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$0.00Jul 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$47.71Jul 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$30.63Jul 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$10.24Jul 10, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$19.35Jul 10, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$0.00Jul 7, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$41.67Jul 7, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$27.42Jul 7, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies$0.00Jul 6, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$0.00Jul 6, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$0.00Jul 6, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $17.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.