Well-Groomed-Birthday
0x21481774e73e04a9da44cb5c8b2453a5e7f90341
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$22.19
Total PnL
$-0.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.54
$0.54
- NO
Will FIFA ban or suspend Israel in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.13
$0.13
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- NO
Paul Biya out as President of Cameroon by December 31?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.13
$0.13
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$1.22
$0.21
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Nov 5, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$5.00Nov 5, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Nov 5, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Nov 5, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.00Nov 5, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.28Nov 5, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 5, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FIFA ban or suspend Israel in 2025?$3.00Nov 4, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.00Nov 4, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$1.00Nov 4, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMSolana ETF approved in 2025?$0.00Nov 4, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMSolana ETF approved in 2025?$2.34Nov 4, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPaul Biya out as President of Cameroon by December 31?$2.00Nov 4, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?$2.78Feb 28, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?$1.00Feb 27, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon out of Trump administration in 2025?$2.00Feb 27, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.