Motherly-Immigrant
0x2150d0878c2514c81fbded2a7e309abb89c9581b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.94
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-4.60
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.50
$-4.10
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
105 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.37
$-1.88
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
140 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.07
$-1.93
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
14041 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-37.18
- YES
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
1109 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on February 21?
1044 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or below on February 9?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?$3.05Jun 1, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime?$3.04Jun 1, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime?$3.05Jun 1, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$8.89Mar 22, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$7.03Mar 20, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$5.22Mar 20, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?$1.81Mar 20, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Radcliffe say "Beast" on Hot Ones?$0.00Mar 20, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 27?$0.00Mar 19, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tunisia vs. Uganda end in a draw?$0.00Mar 19, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$89.68Mar 19, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$10.22Mar 19, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 21?$0.05Mar 19, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 21?$0.04Mar 19, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 21?$0.04Mar 19, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 21?$0.07Mar 19, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$10.00Mar 18, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Mar 18, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$13.00Mar 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$98.66Mar 18, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $19.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".