Knowledgeable-Cigarette
0x2162a3dbecb3fe52b8338462c3439a808714f0b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$17.5K
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$17.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
11798 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.6K
$329.52
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
6750 shares @ 73.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.2K
$176.64
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
1621 shares @ 62.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$640.28
$-364.72
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1486 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.44
$9.66
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 22.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.49
$-1.25
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
55635 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
15013 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
2054 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.46
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
1399 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-877.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.48Jun 13, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$24.48Jun 13, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$49.19Jun 12, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$49.22Jun 12, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$5.0KJun 12, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?$3.06Jun 11, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?$3.06Jun 11, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?$1.53Jun 10, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.0KJun 10, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.0KJun 10, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.3KJun 9, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.3KJun 9, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.4KJun 8, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$2.4KJun 7, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$2.1KJun 1, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$109.99May 30, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$137.50May 30, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$100.00May 30, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.0KMay 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$100.07May 30, 23:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 20:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.