Forked-Mincemeat
0x21632d9a5d2b45f54c880e67aa55ef77ad736a34
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$92.09
Total PnL
$-15.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?
92 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$92.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 8?
1133 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 23?
1020 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 4?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 18?
720 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.50 in September?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $122,000 and $124,000 on October 13?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?$92.01Jun 8, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$92.09Jun 8, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$92.00Jun 2, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$92.09Jun 2, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$92.01May 23, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$92.18May 23, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$92.01May 19, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$92.09May 19, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$92.00May 13, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.09May 13, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.00May 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?$1.07May 7, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$93.19May 7, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$93.01May 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$93.09May 5, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$93.00Apr 27, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$2.00Apr 27, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 24?$95.09Apr 27, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 24?$95.00Apr 23, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 18?$94.09Apr 23, 13:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $80.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 11:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.