Probable-Interpreter
0x21680cfec509a4308f5ac5fe8020ad6e52241da7
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$41.42
Total PnL
$-23.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
30 shares @ 66.8¢·now 64.6¢·exp May 16, 2026$19.35
$-0.65
- NO
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.72
$-1.28
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Family" in Des Moines?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$5.69
$0.69
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Subsidize" in Des Moines?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.98
$-3.02
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Bilateral" in Des Moines?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.07
$-3.93
- EVIL GENIUSES ACADEMY
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$18.185h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Bilateral" in Des Moines?$5.129h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Family" in Des Moines?$5.069h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Subsidize" in Des Moines?$5.079h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$5.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$2.059h ago
- TRADEBUYValorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs$10.169h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?$10.169h ago
- REDEEMSpread: Avalanche (-1.5)$7.501d ago
- REDEEMWild vs. Avalanche$7.811d ago
- REDEEMMap Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)$18.181d ago
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs$16.951d ago
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)$2.052d ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs$10.122d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Avalanche (-1.5)$3.052d ago
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Avalanche$5.052d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?$48.182d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?$44.082d ago
- REDEEMOstrava: Marco Cecchinato vs Raul Brancaccio$12.822d ago
- TRADEBUYOstrava: Marco Cecchinato vs Raul Brancaccio$5.094d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $6.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".