Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Probability
36¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
-0.9pp
24h Vol
$367.6K
Liquidity
$445.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.1pp 7dTimeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 447.0h
Price movement
-1.1pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 16, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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