Roasted-Umbrella
0x216ce7f053930b46aa0ffa72c1191bd4857547a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$966.60
Total PnL
$6.22
Realised
$-1.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 60.6¢·now 63.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$317.99
$15.20
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
220 shares @ 93.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.61
$-2.31
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?
200 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$198.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?
200 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$198.80
$0.80
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?
60 shares @ 86.7¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.40
$-4.60
- YES
Will Empoli achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.83May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$205.92May 16, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $12.80May 16, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?$2.09May 16, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $13.80May 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?$2.32May 16, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? $17.00May 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? $17.40May 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? $17.60May 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$5.01May 16, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$6.00May 16, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?$199.07May 16, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?$198.14May 16, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$199.90May 16, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?$199.97May 16, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?$199.99May 16, 08:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $67.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 06:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".